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It also is bringing about the increasing use of local and mobile
                                                           artificial intelligence, implemented on your phone or in your
                                                           car; wireless networking, including 5G, Wi-Fi, and IoT devices;
                                                           edge artificial intelligence (AI), implemented on edge-computing
                                                           devices; and a fiber backbone that connects to a server that
                                                           performs HPC to implement high-end ML and AI. The key
                                                           takeaway is that there is no single application driving today’s
                                                           wave of semiconductor purchases—rather, the combination and
                                                           convergence of all applications is driving the wave.
                                                           Driving the need for exascale computing
                                                             The massive amounts of data that the converged technology
                                                            ecosystem generates must be processed, thereby driving the
                                                            advent of exascale computing. The term exascale refers to a
                                                            supercomputer capable of calculating at least one exaflop, or
                                                            10  floating-point operations per second—a thousand-fold
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                                                           increase in compute power vs. the first petascale computer,
                                                           which began operating in 2008, according to the Los Alamos
                                                           National Laboratory [2]. Currently, no single exascale computer
                                                           exists, although the first, called Frontier, may debut at Oak Ridge
                                                           National Laboratory (ORNL) later this year [3]. Nevertheless,
                                                           the combined compute power currently available certainly
                                                           exceeds the exaflop number. Aggregate exascale compute power
                                                           resides on everything from a high-end server to a handheld
                                                           smartphone—whose capability exceeds that of a high-end PC of
                                                           just a few years ago.
                                                             The industry is looking at new approaches to getting even
                                                           more compute power and overcoming the challenges that the
                                                           new approaches entail. For example, the mobile computing
                                                           industry is moving to new processing nodes and will have to
                                                           address the tradeoffs between power and performance while
                                                           accommodating new failure models. Companies serving high-
                                                           performance compute and graphics applications will deploy
                                                           chiplet technology—a building-block approach that will allow
                                                           them to precisely match their speed requirements to their
                                                           intended applications and to improve yield. These companies will
                                                           also rely on advanced packaging techniques while contending
                                                           with power and thermal challenges. Furthermore, in their drive
                                                           toward exascale computing, makers of datacenter infrastructure
                                                           will deploy millions of heterogeneous cores to achieve scalability
                                                           and parallelism they need while maintaining resilience to failures
                                                           and finding innovative ways to manage power.

                                                           Implications for test
                                                             Convergence and exascale computing combine to present unique
                                                            testing requirements as chipmakers move toward more advanced
                                                            process nodes. Because transistor density increases at smaller nodes,
                                                            scan-test data volume is exploding, creating the need for more
                                                            memory, faster scan techniques, and new methodologies. Advantest
                                                            estimates that scan data volume has increased 250% since 2018 and
                                                            will reach 450% of 2018’s level by 2023.
                                                             Handling this increasing scan data volume will require automatic
                                                            test equipment (ATE) with deeper vector memory and, to keep test
                                                            times under control, faster scan-test methodologies such as scan
                                                            over high-speed input/output (HSIO), which can employ a SERDES
                                                            interface or the IEEE 1149.10 high-speed test access port and on-chip
                                                            distribution architecture. We estimate that in 2020 the classic scan-
                                                            test technique provided scan access to 90% of all digital devices,
                                                            with muxed scan taking up the remainder. By 2025, classic scan’s
                                                            share could drop to 40%, with muxed, SERDES, and 1149.10 scan


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