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25 EU countries, but also Israel, Turkey
                                                                              and Norway. The second pillar is to set
                                                                              up more “Open EU Foundries” using
                                                                              advanced technology nodes. The third
                                                                              pillar is to ensure continuity of supply to
                                                                              the continent and the ability to intervene
                                                                              in case of a supply-related crisis.
                                                                                Similar to the EU’s efforts, Japan’s
                                                                              Minist r y of Economy, Trade and
                                                                              Industry (METI) has taken significant
                                                                              steps to boost domestic production of
                                                                              advanced chips. In the late eighties,
                                                                              Japan manufact ured over 50% of
                                                                              the world’s semiconductors. Today,
                                                                              it supplies less than 10%.  Figure 2
                                                                              shows the historical trend and the
                                                                              2022 forecast of semiconductor capital
                                                                              expenditure (CapEx) by headquarters
                                                                              l o c a t io n . T h e l a c k of fo c u s o n
        Figure 1: Global semiconductor manufacturing by location in percent. SOURCES: Boston Consulting Group,
        Semiconductor Industry Association, SEMI                              semiconductors on the part of the U.S.,
                                                                              EU, and particularly Japan, is very
        problem statement as: “U.S. leadership in   their own equivalent “CHIPS Act” to try   telling in these trend lines. While the
        semiconductor is threatened by the lack   to achieve their own strategic autonomy   percent of the U.S. semiconductor-
        of U.S.-based capacity for prototyping,   and resilience. The EU launched an   related CapEx has dropped from 31%
        scaling and transfer-to-manufacturing   ambitious project in 2013 to double   to 27%, and Europe’s has dropped
        of b r e a k t h r ou g h s e m ic ond u c t or   its onshore share of semiconductor   from 8% to 3% from 1990 through
        technologies that are the foundation of   production. However, almost ten years   today, Japan’s share of semi CapEx has
        future information and communications   on, its share has remained around 10%.   dropped significantly, from 51% to less
        solutions necessar y for national   This  time  around,  seemingly  more   than 4%, during the same period. Just
        security and economic resiliency.” The   serious, the EU has launched its own   like the U.S. and the EU, the Japanese
        CHIPS Act is geared towards a “course   “CHIPS Act” in February of this year   government is also adopting policies
        correction” to grow the capability from   that is geared to generate €43 billion   to ensure “strategic autonomy and
        lab-to-fab domestically.           in public and private funding. Similar   indispensability.” In November of 2021,
          The second argument  about such   to the U.S. bill, the EU Act has three   it approved a ¥774 billion package
        industry subsidies being a protectionist   distinct pillars. The first pillar is to   to boost domestic semiconductor
        move is not unfounded either. Indeed,   increase research, development and   production that included a ¥400 billion
        despite all the progress in globalization   pilot production lines on European soil.   subsidy to TSMC for a new foundry in
        made during the last decades, the   This partnership not only includes the   the southern island of Kyushu.
        recent trend seems to be more toward
        protectionism with an increasingly
        polarized view of the world—a world that
        has become increasingly complex by the
        realities of today’s heightened geopolitical
        tensions. But the goal here is not
        necessarily to take over semiconductor
        manufacturing domination from the likes
        of Taiwan or the Asian nanoscale duopoly
        of Samsung and TSMC, but rather to
        achieve a healthy level of independence of
        the semiconductor supply chain to reduce
        the risk of dwindling or no supplies, at
        least for some of the critical products.
        Even if the U.S., EU and Japan tried to
        take over semiconductor manufacturing
        dominance, it will take years, perhaps
        even a decade or so, based on their
        capabilities today.
          The U.S. is not alone in this quest to
        achieve a healthy level of independence.
        Both Europe and Japan have launched
                                           Figure 2: Semiconductor capital expenditure by headquarter locations. SOURCE: IC Insights

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