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frequencies up to the 6GHz range. For 4G
                                                                              solutions, the frequency range was from
                                                                              450MHZ to 3.7GHz. However, 5G mmWave
                                                                              (Phase 2) will be using a frequency range
                                                                              from 24GHz to 100GHz (though the
                                                                              industry seems to be converging towards
                                                                              an ~28GHz solution). These frequencies
                                                                              are significantly higher than what are used
                                                                              for the current 4G or even Phase 1 5G (at
                                                                              <6GHz). Figure 11 shows the progression of
                                                                              RF front-end modules from 2G and provides
                                                                              a summary of packaging solutions required
                                                                              for 5G sub-6GHz and 5G mmWave. In 5G
                                                                              Phase 1, an extension of current packaging
                                                                              solutions will work. But 5G mmWave or
                                                                              Phase 2 will require new technologies, such
                                                                              as phased-array antennas and antenna-
        Figure 8: 2000 to 2031 global production of vehicles and the increase of electronic cost as a percent of
        vehicle cost [3-5].                                                   in-package (AiP). Because of the shorter
                                                                              wavelength of 5G mmWave technology,
                                                     array (LGA) will also continue   it has large losses at interconnects. The
                                                     to grow, especially using flip-  antenna, therefore, will need to be designed
                                                     chip interconnect technology.   in the IC chip, or at least integrated with
                                                     System in package (SIP) is   the RF front-end module. Testing them cost
                                                     expected to grow significantly   effectively will be even more challenging.
                                                     because of the need for    New material development will be key to
                                                     heterogeneous integration   produce a suitable and low-cost packaging
                                                     driven in turn by the need for   solution for high-frequency devices. While
                                                     increased functionality within   over-molded plastic packaging is the
                                                     the given real estate, such as in   workhorse of the industry and has the largest
                                                     mobile phone applications.    capacity and infrastructure in the industry,
                                                       Packaging and testing for   this will not be suitable for 5G mmWave RF
                                                     5G mmWave devices will   devices. For example, the mold compound
                                                     require innovative thinking   used for plastic packages has a relatively
                                                     and perhaps even disruptive   high dielectric constant and is not suitable
                                                     tech nolog y in novation.   for RF devices above 20GHz. So, unless
        Figure 9: The convergence of key technologies, along with the   Historically, most IC packaging
        significant unit price reduction of these fundamental technologies, will   the material supplier comes up with such a
        drive market growth in this decade.          and testing had to deal with   mold compound, a more expensive cavity
                                                                              package solution will have to be used.
                                                                                Finally, there remains a lack of expertise
                                                                              in the assembly and test sector to effectively
                                                                              handle the high-frequency RF solutions
                                                                              discussed above. The semiconductor
                                                                              back-end industry would need to enlist
                                                                              RF engineers who understand these high-
                                                                              frequency requirements and can fill this
                                                                              knowledge gap for package design and
                                                                              final test.
                                                                                The technology convergence because of
                                                                              the 5G technology revolution, improvement
                                                                              in artificial intelligence, virtual and
                                                                              augmented reality, and cloud computing,
                                                                              along with unit cost reduction of these key
                                                                              technologies will create a perfect storm that
                                                                              will provide the strong backwind for the
                                                                              next growth phase of the semiconductor
        Figure 10: Driven by key technology convergence and lower unit cost of these technologies, the
        semiconductor industry is likely to experience double-digit growth in the second half of this decade. SOURCES:   industry. While 5G Phase 1 is available in
        89/94 through 14/19 data from IC Insights; 15/20F through 25/30F by Asif Chowdhury  a few locations and imminent in the rest of

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